every number recomputed live from the forecast archive← back to terminal
Method: for each event we take every archived forecast issued inside the window at the 30- and 90-day horizons and score its direction against the realised return — the same scoring as the full backtest. Out-of-scope events are shown as out-of-scope: a crop-state model should not claim logistics, legislation, or pre-archive history. Forecast archive begins 2014-05-08.