SpatioNiti

Global cocoa supply forecast

Supply-condition outlook for the five cocoa belts and the world balance, 60 / 90 / 120 / 180 days ahead - built from free Earth-observation weather, origin export flows, farmgate price policy and curated supply events. No futures, no tickers: the index reads physical supply, not price. Positive = conditions better than the 2005-19 seasonal normal (sigma units). Hover any number for its exact reasoning. Every historical cell is a real walk-forward forecast, scored against what happened.

Volume outlook — tonnes first

World supply outlook

Belt-level outlook

Backtest - walk-forward, zero look-ahead (scored 2019 to present)