Twenty years of day-by-day supply reasoning for the five cocoa belts — what the weather was doing to supply, which driver dominated, and the nearest verified supply event. Pick any date from 2006 to six months ahead. Built from observed weather vs the 2005–19 seasonal normal; no price data of any kind.
Event impact map. Pulsing markers = the five belts, coloured by that day's supply conditions (red = stressed, green = favourable, grey = neutral). Arcs animate from belts with an active verified event toward the EU grind hubs — the flow the event touches.